Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 14 June 2026 at 23:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 36th strongest of the 178 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 6:38PM EDT until June 14 at 7:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Urban PEI: 521,261 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- June 14, 2026 · score 48 · 5.0 km
- June 11, 2026 · score 37 · 9.5 km
- August 27, 2026 · score 54 · 9.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 39.3831, -77.6811 |
| Nearest City | Ballenger Creek (21 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 521.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-14T22:38:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0b85d45ff55e343b1e17662d961120a6 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-14T22:38:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-06-14T22:40:09.661Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Charles City, VA; Hanover, VA; Henrico, VA; King William, VA; New Kent, VA; Isle of Wight, VA; York, VA; City of Hampton, VA; City of Newport News, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; City of Fredericksburg, VA and 13 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 6:38PM EDT until June 14 at 7:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA |
| Expires | 2026-06-14T19:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Wakefield VA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 16 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0b85d45ff55e343b1e17662d961120a67b2cc512.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7dc7e2e7843a0ae45fbd4a5a72d35572086e0df2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e534869c9186bda2e0ee567ad032badd3d92acd4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1cc41de47c17dec5590de5f19424de033ab3c51.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.348195bce285fcc713bedd86b40a1ffbcf889b55.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0e34e8b294065fe7d16f2926aab53c2e51066591.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb55ad080c93e02deb0c78e99959d1a48d587c66.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4ccdaa4b34c790f572b48bfe2625d6db5b79000f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.052fdaac3ec7360c5077b8faecd5eea5a9f31a13.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4d5e4f8c6df4fd4bb7bccb87bdbea9702de01dab.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d3a54177375d8a2452541a8c79c448e54cb7efa.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0d226b6a6dc655789f7d45233d1c9eb297d9e067.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f360bd82c75449dad5f2326277cdd1982a4226f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c8d1553a851b50fd3e695193a42d287a9d6c0e80.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.478ecf074ccc636b9c40861625129f7a5a333d24.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d4510fb6ff7fc67cdb1b5ec96f0eec8f47b46104.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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